Introduction

The global pork production industry is poised for significant growth in the coming years, driven by changing consumer preferences, population growth, and advancements in farming technology. By 2030, it is anticipated that certain countries will dominate pork production due to their favorable conditions for rearing pigs, established supply chains, and growing domestic and international demand for pork products. This report explores the top 10 countries expected to lead in pork production by 2030, providing detailed insights into their production capacities, financials, and market dynamics.

1. China

China has maintained its position as the world’s largest producer of pork for several decades. The country accounted for approximately 50% of global pork production in 2021, with an estimated output of 54 million metric tons. The Chinese government has implemented various measures to stabilize pig farming, including subsidies and disease control programs.

By 2030, China is expected to produce around 58 million metric tons of pork, driven by a growing middle class and rising consumption levels. The country’s pork consumption is projected to increase from 37 kg per capita in 2021 to 42 kg by 2030.

Financially, the pork industry in China is anticipated to generate revenues exceeding $195 billion by 2030. This growth is fueled by increasing demand for processed pork products, which have gained popularity among consumers.

2. United States

The United States is the second-largest pork producer, with a production volume of approximately 12 million metric tons in 2021. The U.S. pork industry is known for its advanced production techniques and high-quality products.

By 2030, U.S. pork production is expected to reach 13.5 million metric tons. The industry benefits from robust export markets, particularly in Asia, where demand for U.S. pork is rising. The revenue generated by the U.S. pork sector is projected to surpass $50 billion, supported by increasing exports and domestic consumption.

The average per capita pork consumption in the U.S. is expected to stabilize around 27 kg by 2030, as consumers diversify their protein sources but continue to favor pork.

3. European Union

The European Union (EU) collectively stands as a significant player in the global pork market, with total production reaching around 23 million metric tons in 2021. Germany, Spain, and France are the leading producers within the EU.

By 2030, EU pork production is projected to remain stable at approximately 23 million metric tons, as stringent regulations and animal welfare standards influence production methods. The EU pork industry is valued at about $70 billion, with exports to non-EU countries supporting growth.

The average per capita consumption of pork in the EU is expected to rise slightly from 32 kg in 2021 to 35 kg by 2030, driven by the popularity of processed meat products.

4. Brazil

Brazil has emerged as a major player in the global pork market, with production volumes of around 4 million metric tons in 2021. The country benefits from vast agricultural land, favorable climate conditions, and a strong export market.

By 2030, Brazil’s pork production is projected to increase to 5.5 million metric tons, driven by growing domestic demand and exports to countries like China and the EU. The Brazilian pork industry is estimated to generate revenues of approximately $20 billion by 2030.

Per capita consumption of pork in Brazil is expected to rise from 15 kg in 2021 to 18 kg by 2030, reflecting a growing preference for pork among Brazilian consumers.

5. Russia

Russia has made significant strides in pork production, with estimated production reaching 4 million metric tons in 2021. The Russian government has prioritized self-sufficiency in meat production, leading to investments in domestic pig farming.

By 2030, Russia’s pork production is expected to grow to 5 million metric tons, supported by increasing domestic demand and reduced reliance on imports. The Russian pork industry is projected to generate around $15 billion in revenue by 2030.

Per capita pork consumption in Russia is anticipated to increase from 26 kg in 2021 to 30 kg by 2030, as consumers turn to pork as a primary protein source.

6. Vietnam

Vietnam has established itself as a rising star in pork production, with an output of approximately 3 million metric tons in 2021. The country’s pork industry is characterized by smallholder farms and a strong domestic market.

By 2030, Vietnam’s pork production is projected to reach 4.5 million metric tons, driven by increasing urbanization and changing dietary preferences. The Vietnamese pork industry is expected to generate revenues of around $10 billion by 2030.

Per capita pork consumption in Vietnam is anticipated to rise from 34 kg in 2021 to 38 kg by 2030, as pork remains a staple protein in Vietnamese cuisine.

7. Mexico

Mexico is a notable player in the pork production landscape, with production volumes of around 1.5 million metric tons in 2021. The country’s pork industry is supported by a strong domestic market and increasing exports, particularly to the U.S.

By 2030, Mexico’s pork production is expected to grow to 2 million metric tons, driven by rising consumption and exports. The Mexican pork industry is projected to generate revenues of approximately $7 billion by 2030.

Per capita pork consumption in Mexico is anticipated to increase from 18 kg in 2021 to 21 kg by 2030, as consumers favor pork for traditional dishes.

8. Philippines

The Philippines has a rapidly growing pork industry, with an estimated production of 1 million metric tons in 2021. The country’s pork sector is characterized by smallholder farms and a strong domestic market.

By 2030, the Philippines’ pork production is projected to reach 1.5 million metric tons, driven by urbanization and increasing demand for pork products. The Filipino pork industry is expected to generate revenues of around $4 billion by 2030.

Per capita pork consumption in the Philippines is anticipated to rise from 22 kg in 2021 to 25 kg by 2030, as pork is a key ingredient in Filipino cuisine.

9. Thailand

Thailand has emerged as a competitive player in pork production, with production volumes of approximately 1.2 million metric tons in 2021. The Thai pork industry benefits from a growing domestic market and increasing exports.

By 2030, Thailand’s pork production is expected to reach 1.8 million metric tons, driven by rising consumption and exports to neighboring countries. The Thai pork industry is projected to generate revenues of around $5 billion by 2030.

Per capita pork consumption in Thailand is anticipated to increase from 27 kg in 2021 to 30 kg by 2030, as pork remains a popular protein choice among Thai consumers.

10. Canada

Canada has a well-established pork industry, with production volumes of around 1.5 million metric tons in 2021. The country’s pork sector is known for its high standards of animal welfare and food safety.

By 2030, Canada’s pork production is expected to grow to 1.8 million metric tons, supported by strong export markets, particularly in Asia. The Canadian pork industry is projected to generate revenues of approximately $6 billion by 2030.

Per capita pork consumption in Canada is anticipated to stabilize around 25 kg by 2030, as consumers continue to explore diverse protein options.

Conclusion

The global pork production landscape is rapidly evolving, with several countries expected to dominate the market by 2030. Factors such as population growth, changing dietary preferences, and advancements in farming technology will play crucial roles in shaping the future of pork production. Countries like China, the United States, and Brazil are poised to lead due to their strong production capabilities and growing consumer demand. Understanding these trends will be essential for stakeholders in the pork industry to navigate opportunities and challenges in the years to come.

[Read More: The State of the Global Pork, Swine, Pig, and Bacon Industry: A Comprehensive 2025 Report]