The latest installment of the ‘Agronometrics In Charts’ series delves into the projections for the Mexican mango season. Each week, this series focuses on a different horticultural commodity, highlighting specific origins or topics and visualizing the market factors that are driving change.
According to the National Mango Board’s weekly crop report, the Mexican mango season kicked off in the second week of January and is expected to run until the final week of October. The current projection for the season, up to week 18, stands at approximately 29.2 million boxes. By week 9, Mexico had already shipped around 1,391,039 boxes, totaling 4,491,792 boxes for the season. Comparatively, during the same period in 2024, Mexico had shipped 1,616,808 boxes, amounting to 5,418,264 boxes for the season.
Despite a slower start to the 2025 Mexican mango crop, industry experts remain optimistic about a promising season ahead. Chris Ciruli, partner at Ciruli Bros. LLC in AZ, notes that the initial modest volume does not indicate a short crop. He anticipates a significant increase in picking by mid-March, with mangos growing larger than average due to ample rainfall.
Early shipments have showcased excellent eating quality, with Ataulfo mangos from Oaxaca predominantly larger in size. As production ramps up in Chiapas and Michoacan, smaller-sized fruit will become more readily available. Keith Barnard, senior vice president of global sourcing at Mission Produce, highlights Mexico’s diverse climatic conditions, allowing for a prolonged growing season and multiple varieties of mangos. He predicts that fruit sizes will increase by midseason (May or June), leading to heavier promotions and stronger volumes. Barnard emphasizes the potential of ripe Mexican mangoes to drive sales in the U.S. market.
The accompanying chart illustrates mango volumes over time, providing valuable insights into market trends. The data source for this chart is USDA Market News via Agronometrics, a platform that offers live updates for users to stay informed about market dynamics.
In the ‘In Charts’ series, we aim to illuminate the stories shaping the industry. For more articles in this series, please visit our website. Pricing information for domestic US produce reflects the spot market at Shipping Point, while pricing data for imported fruit represents the spot market at Port of Entry. Agronometrics provides a data visualization tool to help industry professionals navigate the vast amounts of data necessary to make informed decisions. For access to similar graphs and information on 21 other commodities we track, visit our website.
Overall, the 2025 Mexican mango season shows promise for robust promotional opportunities, larger fruit sizes, and increased volumes as the season progresses. Stay updated with Agronometrics for the latest market insights and trends in the produce industry.
