The recent weather patterns in Australia have set the stage for a strong start to the winter-cropping season in the northern regions, while the southern areas are still waiting for the much-needed rainfall. The Bureau of Meteorology’s three-month forecast indicates a wetter April in the north and east, followed by a drier May across the country.

In Queensland, significant rainfall has been recorded in many grain-growing areas, leading to ideal conditions for winter cropping. However, some remote areas have experienced flooding, resulting in stock losses for graziers. Northern New South Wales has also received substantial rain, setting the stage for a successful winter sowing season once the land dries out.

Conversely, South Australia and Victoria are facing dry conditions as growers eagerly await the autumn break. Despite the dry weather, there is demand for barley, corn, and lupins in these regions to feed livestock during drought conditions.

In terms of prices, indicative values in Australian dollars per tonne show stability in the market. Barley, ASW, and sorghum prices are holding steady, reflecting the current market conditions.

The northern regions are well-positioned for a successful winter cropping season, with ample moisture levels in the soil. Once conditions are suitable, growers are expected to start sowing faba beans, canola, and long-season bread wheats.

In the southern regions, dry sowing has begun in anticipation of the rainfall, with some growers holding onto barley stocks for livestock feed or drought market sales. The Western District of South Australia and Victoria continues to experience dry conditions, impacting grain exports and forcing growers to seek alternative feed sources for their stock.

Despite the challenges posed by the dry weather, the market remains stable, with consumers buying on a hand-to-mouth basis. The ongoing dryness has led to reduced barley availability, as growers hold onto their stocks.

Looking ahead, the hope is for a timely break in the weather to support the winter cropping season. Growers in the southern regions are preparing for dry sowing, with expectations of starting a week before Anzac Day.

Overall, the grain market in Australia is influenced by weather conditions, consumer demand, and export opportunities. While challenges persist, there are signs of resilience and adaptability within the industry. Asian demand is supporting the southern wheat market, and there is optimism for a successful winter cropping season once the much-needed rainfall arrives.

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