Cattle futures rise due to robust cash trade and increased beef prices…

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Written by Robert Gultig

12 January 2025

The hog markets have experienced a notable rise despite an upswing in pork values, according to recent reports. Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) cattle futures rebounded due to strong cash cattle and beef prices, as well as the US Department of Agriculture’s denial of feeder cattle imports from Mexico resuming in January 2025.

On Thursday, CME March feeder cattle reached a life-of-contract high, settling at 268.300 cents per pound. February live cattle futures also saw an increase, ending at 197.600 cents per pound, their highest level since September 2023. Cash cattle prices rallied as packers struggled to secure enough inventory, although processing margins remained in the red.

Despite losses per head declining to $18.60 on Thursday, the market received support from the USDA’s denial of feeder cattle imports from Mexico partially resuming due to the New World screwworm pest outbreak. Analysts noted that there was an initial pullback in the market followed by a push back higher, indicating a possible overreaction the previous day.

Boxed beef values also saw an increase, with choice cuts of beef up $2.17 at $330.78 per hundredweight (cwt) and select cuts up $1.46 at $308.35 per cwt on Thursday afternoon. Additionally, lean hogs rose following a period of funds unraveling large net long positions, with CME February lean hogs settling at 81.775 cents per pound.

Despite an upswing in pork values, hogs saw an increase, with the USDA reporting that the pork carcass cutout value fell 5 cents on Thursday afternoon to $90.48 per cwt. This demonstrates the resilience and strength of the hog markets despite challenging conditions.

Overall, the recent market trends highlight the dynamic nature of the livestock industry and the various factors that can influence prices and trading activity. It is crucial for industry participants to stay informed and adapt to changing market conditions to make informed decisions and navigate the complexities of the market effectively.

In conclusion, the recent rise in hog markets amidst an upswing in pork values underscores the resilience and adaptability of the livestock industry. By staying informed and monitoring market trends, industry participants can make strategic decisions to navigate the ever-changing landscape of the market effectively.

Related Analysis: View Previous Industry Report

Author: Robert Gultig in conjunction with ESS Research Team

Robert Gultig is a veteran Managing Director and International Trade Consultant with over 20 years of experience in global trading and market research. Robert leverages his deep industry knowledge and strategic marketing background (BBA) to provide authoritative market insights in conjunction with the ESS Research Team. If you would like to contribute articles or insights, please join our team by emailing support@essfeed.com.
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