The European Union (EU) is facing challenges in pigmeat consumption due to sustainability concerns, leading to a projected decrease of 0.4% per year, with consumption falling to 30 kg in 2035. Intensive pigmeat production systems are expected to face further societal criticism, resulting in a decline in EU pigmeat production. Despite the presence of African swine fever in the EU, major or uncontrolled outbreaks are not anticipated.

EU pigmeat exports, which saw an increase in the previous decade, are expected to decline by 338,000 tonnes between the 2022/24 average and 2035. This decrease is due to a recovery in pigmeat production in Asian countries. Despite this decline, EU export volumes are projected to remain relatively stable until 2035. Additionally, pigmeat prices may remain higher than past levels due to increased costs and reduced EU supply.

In terms of other meats, beef production is projected to decrease due to sustainability concerns, low profitability, and a stricter regulatory framework. Similarly, beef consumption is expected to decline as a result of tight supply and high prices. Poultry production, on the other hand, could see an increase driven by a healthier image and relatively lower prices. This, combined with export opportunities, may lead to an upward trend in poultry production, albeit at a slower growth rate compared to the past decade.

The decline in sheep and goat meat production is expected to continue, with varying trends among EU countries. Despite this decline, EU per capita consumption is projected to remain relatively stable due to sustained consumption patterns rooted in cultural traditions.

The EU agricultural outlook for 2024-2035, as reported by the European Commission’s DG Agriculture and Rural Development in Brussels, highlights the changing landscape of meat consumption in the EU. These projections are based on current trends and factors influencing the agricultural sector in the EU.

Overall, the future of pigmeat and other meats in the EU is influenced by sustainability concerns, changing consumer preferences, and global market dynamics. As the EU navigates these challenges, it will be important for stakeholders in the agricultural sector to adapt to these changes and explore opportunities for growth and development in a shifting market environment.