The U.S. fresh pear industry is currently facing a historic downturn, as outlined in the recently published Fresh Apples, Grapes, and Pears: World Markets and Trade Report by the USDA. The 2024/25 season is forecasted to see a significant drop in production and exports, reaching their lowest levels in decades. Total U.S. pear production is expected to decrease by 20% to 470,000 metric tons, marking the smallest harvest since the 1967/68 season.

Adverse weather conditions have impacted all three major pear-producing states in the U.S. – Washington, Oregon, and California. Washington, traditionally the largest pear-producing state, is projected to experience a 30% decline in output, falling below Oregon’s production for the first time. This drop is attributed to a January freeze and unseasonably cold spring weather, which damaged trees and blossoms, exacerbating a trend of declining acreage over the past decade. Oregon and California also reported double-digit declines of 15% and 17%, respectively, further tightening supplies and leading to a 17.5% increase in prices by week 50 compared to the previous season.

With the limited harvest, U.S. fresh pear exports are expected to decrease to 85,000 tons, a 25,000-ton drop from the previous year and the lowest level since 1988/89. This decline will affect shipments to Canada and Mexico, the two main export destinations that account for 90% of U.S. pear exports. Import volumes are projected to rise slightly to 80,000 tons, with minimal supply increases from the Southern Hemisphere due to limited substitutability of popular U.S. varieties like Bosc and Green Anjou with Asian pears from China. Domestic pear consumption is also forecasted to decrease to its lowest level in four decades, reflecting a long-term trend of declining demand.

Despite the challenges faced by the U.S. fresh pear industry, canned pear inventories remain robust, helping to alleviate pressure on the processed market. The 2024/25 season highlights the significant obstacles posed by climate impacts and changing global market dynamics. Record low exports and domestic consumption emphasize the need for the industry to adapt to maintain its market position and foster long-term growth.

For more detailed insights into the U.S. fresh pear industry, you can refer to the charts provided by the USDA Market News via Agronometrics. These charts offer a visual representation of pear volumes by origin and historical price trends, allowing for a better understanding of the market dynamics influencing the industry. Subscribe to our newsletter to stay updated on the latest developments in the agricultural sector and receive valuable insights into market trends and trade reports.